Mon, Jun 24, 2019
American writer Mark Twain was reported to have accurately predicted his own death. He apparently based his prediction on the astronomical phenomenon that marked his birth, the appearance of Halley's Comet. A year before his death, Twain said: 'I came in with Halley's Comet in 1835. It is coming again next year, and I expect to go out with it. It will be the greatest disappointment of my life if I don't go out with Halley's Comet. The Almighty has said, no doubt: "Now here are these two unaccountable freaks; they came in together, they must go out together.'
There's a lot of confusion around assessing capacity for loss, particularly for clients drawing down their portfolio. Much of it stems from the fact that the Regulator doesn't really seem to know how it should be assessed. There appears to be two camps in this debacle. On one side, you have an ex-regulator, paraplanners and compliance consultants who seem to think that capacity for loss is the be-all and end-all. We’ll call them the ‘compliance camp’. On the other hand, you have financial planners at the coal face.
One of the great misconceptions about the Sustainable Withdrawal Rate (SWR) framework is how an adviser (and fund) fees affect withdrawals from a retirement portfolio. This analysis shows that 1%pa translates into around 6%-12% (UK) and 9%-13% (US) of the client's overall income and capital, depending on the scenario. A total fee of 2%pa wipes out around 13%-26% (UK) and 19%-28% (US) of the overall fund, depending on the scenario.
John and Jo Miggins have worked hard all their lives. They saved as much as they could and now they’re ready to retire. They've paid off their mortgage and their home is worth £260k. Between them, they have £300k in their pension pots. And that’s it!
Mon, Mar 25, 2019
The latest Credit Suisse Global Investment Yearbook (excerpt here) compiled by Professor Elroy Dimson and his colleagues Paul Marsh and Mike Stanton, is a treasure trove of information. It covers asset class return and inflation in 26 different markets over the 119 years between 1900 and 2018.
Mon, Jun 25, 2018
In the early 1910s, the US military used maps of the Alsace-Lorraine and Champagne regions in France as part of its training programme. Critics however contested that it was spurious for the US Army to base their training on those areas rather than US territories, where they were more likely to fight a war. And so the military changed their training maps to ones on US soil. Then, around two years after the change was made, WW1 began and the US military was deployed to fight in Alsace-Lorraine!
Mon, Sep 11, 2017
Justin King: I'm an investor, get me out of here! Help clients survive the jungle with the power of five.
In this final video, Justin King APFS, CFP grapples with how on earth to stop clients from losing their nerve and bailing on their financial and retirement income plan when markets head south.